10
10
20
20
30
30
40
40
50
50
40
40
30
30
20
20
10
10
TDSNAP
10
20
30
40
50
40
30
20
10
10
20
30
40
50
40
30
20
10
NFL›GAMES›WEEK 1›BILLS VS TEXANS
WEEK 1
SUNDAY, SEP 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET
RELIANT STADIUM

WHERE THIS
MATCHUP TILTS.

BUFFALO
BILLS
—
TDSNAP OVERALL
75
VS
TDSNAP OVERALL
66
HOUSTON
TEXANS
—
BILLS ON THE ROAD.
MODEL LEANS HERE.TEXANS AT HOME.
PROVE THEM WRONG.
#4
2025 offense
28.3 pts/G · away
#2
2025 defense
17.4 pts allowed/G · home
13.3
QB fantasy pts/G
Josh Allen · PPR
3-0 · 0-3
Preseason record
29.3 vs 13.3 pts/G
soon

TDSNAP MATCHUP FIELD

FIVE SIGNALS. TWO TEAMS. A CLEARER PICTURE.
How TDSNAP Signals Work →THE GAP IS THE STORY →
BILLS
88
ATTACK
EXPLOSIVE PLAYMAKING
42
63
DEFENSE
STOPS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
94
69
FORM
RECENT TRAJECTORY
55
64
BURST
SPEED CHANGES GAMES
28
97
FINISH
RED ZONE EXECUTION
4
TEXANS
The field tells the story.

MATCHUP EDGE

COMBINING ALL FIVE SIGNALS.
+21 — CLEAR LEAN
BUF
Strong edge: BILLS +21
Five signals. One matchup.
HOU

BIGGEST CONTRAST

WHERE'S THE EDGE?
THIS IS THE SWING SPOT.
BILLS
FINISH
97
VS
TEXANS
FINISH RESISTANCE
3
GAP
+94

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than TEXANS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

DEFENSE VS POSITION

MATCHUP LEVERAGE?Full DVP →
2025 season · fantasy pts allowed
POS
BILLS
TEXANS
ADJ
ADJ
QB
#22
#30
14.7
13.1
RB
#12
#22
23.1
20.0
WR
#23
#30
27.8
24.8
TE
#32
#25
7.5
11.5

DEPTH CHART

WHO'S ON THE FIELD?
STARTERS · USAGE DEPTH
BILLS
  • QB
    Josh Allen
  • RB
    James Cook III
  • WR
    Khalil Shakir
  • TE
    Dalton Kincaid
TEXANS
  • QB
    C.J. Stroud
  • RB
    Nick Chubb
  • WR
    Nico Collins
  • TE
    Dalton Schultz

PRESEASON

2026 exhibition
BILLS3-0
PTS/G29.3
ALLOWED16.0
  • WK 1W29-14vs CAR
  • WK 2W31-7@ CLE
  • WK 3W28-27vs PIT
TEXANS0-3
PTS/G13.3
ALLOWED21.7
  • WK 1L7-27vs LAC
  • WK 2L20-22vs LV
  • WK 3L13-16@ CAR

TEAM COMPARISON

SIDE BY SIDE?
KEY STATS. REAL CONTEXT.
STAT (PER GAME)
BILLS
TEXANS
Points Per Game
28.3
23.8
Total Yards / Game
376.3
327.0
Pass Yards / Game
216.6
218.1
Rush Yards / Game
159.6
108.9
Third Down %
44.8%
37.2%
Red Zone %
66.2%
46.3%

ROSTER READY

WHO'S REALLY AVAILABLE.
DEPTH DECIDES THE 4TH QUARTER
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
4 questionable
See Injury Report →
64
THIN
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
0 questionable
See Injury Report →
76
CAUTION
BUFFALOBILLS

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM
BUF69
HOU55
HEALTH
BUF96
HOU91
REST
BUF14D
HOU14D
BIGGEST EDGE»FINISH +94 BUF

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than TEXANS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

HOUSTONTEXANS

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM69 — 55
HEALTH96 — 91
REST14D — 14D
FINISH +94 BUF

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than TEXANS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

WHAT TO WATCH

KEY STORYLINES FOR WEEK 1.
WHO BREAKS ONE OPEN?
1
SIGNAL: BURST
FINISH

The model's biggest swing spot is finish — watch it early.

HIGH
2
SIGNAL: FINISH
Red Zone Finish

Both offenses move the ball. Execution in the red zone matters.

HIGH
3
SIGNAL: DEPTH
Roster Ready

Which team's depth holds up — BILLS (THIN) or TEXANS (CAUTION)?

LATE
TEXANS OWNS THIS ONE?

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

View All Matchups →
RECENT HISTORY BETWEEN THESE RIVALS.
DATE
WINNER
SCORE
SITE
Nov 21, 2025
TEXANS
19 - 23
HOU
TEXANS won 1 of the last 1.

KEY PLAYERS

GAME CHANGERS?
WHO CHANGES THE GAME.
View All Players →
BILLS
Josh Allen headshot
Josh Allen
QB SCORE
133
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
James Cook III headshot
James Cook III
OFFENSE SCORE
181
BETWEEN THE TACKLES. EXPLOSIVE.
Khalil Shakir headshot
Khalil Shakir
OFFENSE SCORE
105
ELITE THREAT. GAME CHANGER.
TEXANS
C.J. Stroud headshot
C.J. Stroud
QB SCORE
121
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
Nico Collins headshot
Nico Collins
OFFENSE SCORE
151
ELITE THREAT. GAME CHANGER.
Davis Mills headshot
Davis Mills
IMPACT SCORE
111
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
TDSNAP

REAL INSIGHTS FOR REAL FANS.

AboutMethodologyPrivacyTermsCookiesAccessibility

© 2026 tdsnap.com