WEEK 16
FRIDAY, DEC 25, 2026 · 4:30 PM ET
EMPOWER FIELD AT MILE HIGH

WHERE THIS
MATCHUP TILTS.

BUFFALO
TDSNAP OVERALL
75
VS
TDSNAP OVERALL
66
DENVER
#4
2025 offense
28.3 pts/G · away
#3
2025 defense
18.3 pts allowed/G · home
13.8
QB fantasy pts/G
Bo Nix · PPR
3-0 · 2-1
Preseason record
29.3 vs 24.7 pts/G
soon

TDSNAP MATCHUP FIELD

FIVE SIGNALS. TWO TEAMS. A CLEARER PICTURE.
How TDSNAP Signals Work →THE GAP IS THE STORY →
BILLS
88
ATTACK
EXPLOSIVE PLAYMAKING
51
63
DEFENSE
STOPS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
84
69
FORM
RECENT TRAJECTORY
58
64
BURST
SPEED CHANGES GAMES
53
97
FINISH
RED ZONE EXECUTION
63
BRONCOS
The field tells the story.

MATCHUP EDGE

COMBINING ALL FIVE SIGNALS.
+17 — EDGE ON THE BOARD
Clear edge: BILLS +17
Five signals. One matchup.

BIGGEST CONTRAST

THIS IS THE SWING SPOT.
BILLS
FINISH
97
VS
BRONCOS
FINISH RESISTANCE
3
GAP
+94

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than BRONCOS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

DEFENSE VS POSITION

Full DVP →
2025 season · fantasy pts allowed
POS
BILLS
BRONCOS
ADJ
ADJ
QB
#22
#25
14.7
14.3
RB
#12
#30
23.1
18.8
WR
#23
#24
27.8
27.1
TE
#32
#8
7.5
15.1

PRESEASON

2026 exhibition
PTS/G29.3
ALLOWED16.0
  • WK 1W29-14vs CAR
  • WK 2W31-7@ CLE
  • WK 3W28-27vs PIT
PTS/G24.7
ALLOWED15.3
  • WK 1W27-7@ ATL
  • WK 2L13-33vs GB
  • WK 3W34-6vs MIN

TEAM COMPARISON

KEY STATS. REAL CONTEXT.
STAT (PER GAME)
BILLS
BRONCOS
Points Per Game
28.3
23.6
Total Yards / Game
376.3
342.6
Pass Yards / Game
216.6
223.9
Rush Yards / Game
159.6
118.7
Third Down %
44.8%
41.2%
Red Zone %
66.2%
57.9%

ROSTER READY

WHO'S REALLY AVAILABLE.
DEPTH DECIDES THE 4TH QUARTER
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
4 questionable
See Injury Report →
64
THIN
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
0 questionable
See Injury Report →
76
CAUTION

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM
BUF69
DEN58
HEALTH
BUF96
DEN94
REST
BUF14D
DEN14D
BIGGEST EDGEFINISH +94 BUF

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than BRONCOS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM6958
HEALTH9694
REST14D — 14D
FINISH +94 BUF

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than BRONCOS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

WHAT TO WATCH

KEY STORYLINES FOR WEEK 16.
WHO BREAKS ONE OPEN?
1
SIGNAL: BURST
FINISH

The model's biggest swing spot is finish — watch it early.

HIGH
2
SIGNAL: FINISH
Red Zone Finish

Both offenses move the ball. Execution in the red zone matters.

HIGH
3
SIGNAL: DEPTH
Roster Ready

Which team's depth holds up — BILLS (THIN) or BRONCOS (CAUTION)?

LATE
BRONCOS OWNS THIS ONE?

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

View All Matchups →
RECENT HISTORY BETWEEN THESE RIVALS.
DATE
WINNER
SCORE
SITE
Jan 17, 2026
30 - 33
DEN
BRONCOS won 1 of the last 1.

KEY PLAYERS

WHO CHANGES THE GAME.
View All Players →
BILLS
Josh Allen headshot
Josh Allen
QB SCORE
133
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
BRONCOS
Bo Nix headshot
Bo Nix
QB SCORE
138
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
RJ Harvey headshot
RJ Harvey
OFFENSE SCORE
123
BETWEEN THE TACKLES. EXPLOSIVE.