WEEK 1
SUNDAY, SEP 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET
RELIANT STADIUM

WHERE THIS
MATCHUP TILTS.

BUFFALO
TDSNAP OVERALL
75
VS
TDSNAP OVERALL
66
HOUSTON
#4
2025 offense
28.3 pts/G · away
#2
2025 defense
17.4 pts allowed/G · home
13.3
QB fantasy pts/G
Josh Allen · PPR
3-0 · 0-3
Preseason record
29.3 vs 13.3 pts/G
soon

TDSNAP MATCHUP FIELD

FIVE SIGNALS. TWO TEAMS. A CLEARER PICTURE.
How TDSNAP Signals Work →THE GAP IS THE STORY →
BILLS
88
ATTACK
EXPLOSIVE PLAYMAKING
42
63
DEFENSE
STOPS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
94
69
FORM
RECENT TRAJECTORY
55
64
BURST
SPEED CHANGES GAMES
28
97
FINISH
RED ZONE EXECUTION
4
TEXANS
The field tells the story.

MATCHUP EDGE

COMBINING ALL FIVE SIGNALS.
+21 — CLEAR LEAN
Strong edge: BILLS +21
Five signals. One matchup.

BIGGEST CONTRAST

THIS IS THE SWING SPOT.
BILLS
FINISH
97
VS
TEXANS
FINISH RESISTANCE
3
GAP
+94

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than TEXANS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

DEFENSE VS POSITION

Full DVP →
2025 season · fantasy pts allowed
POS
BILLS
TEXANS
ADJ
ADJ
QB
#22
#30
14.7
13.1
RB
#12
#22
23.1
20.0
WR
#23
#30
27.8
24.8
TE
#32
#25
7.5
11.5

PRESEASON

2026 exhibition
PTS/G29.3
ALLOWED16.0
  • WK 1W29-14vs CAR
  • WK 2W31-7@ CLE
  • WK 3W28-27vs PIT
PTS/G13.3
ALLOWED21.7
  • WK 1L7-27vs LAC
  • WK 2L20-22vs LV
  • WK 3L13-16@ CAR

TEAM COMPARISON

KEY STATS. REAL CONTEXT.
STAT (PER GAME)
BILLS
TEXANS
Points Per Game
28.3
23.8
Total Yards / Game
376.3
327.0
Pass Yards / Game
216.6
218.1
Rush Yards / Game
159.6
108.9
Third Down %
44.8%
37.2%
Red Zone %
66.2%
46.3%

ROSTER READY

WHO'S REALLY AVAILABLE.
DEPTH DECIDES THE 4TH QUARTER
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
4 questionable
See Injury Report →
64
THIN
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
0 questionable
See Injury Report →
76
CAUTION

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM
BUF69
HOU55
HEALTH
BUF96
HOU90
REST
BUF14D
HOU14D
BIGGEST EDGEFINISH +94 BUF

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than TEXANS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM6955
HEALTH9690
REST14D — 14D
FINISH +94 BUF

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than TEXANS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

WHAT TO WATCH

KEY STORYLINES FOR WEEK 1.
WHO BREAKS ONE OPEN?
1
SIGNAL: BURST
FINISH

The model's biggest swing spot is finish — watch it early.

HIGH
2
SIGNAL: FINISH
Red Zone Finish

Both offenses move the ball. Execution in the red zone matters.

HIGH
3
SIGNAL: DEPTH
Roster Ready

Which team's depth holds up — BILLS (THIN) or TEXANS (CAUTION)?

LATE
TEXANS OWNS THIS ONE?

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

View All Matchups →
RECENT HISTORY BETWEEN THESE RIVALS.
DATE
WINNER
SCORE
SITE
Nov 21, 2025
19 - 23
HOU
TEXANS won 1 of the last 1.

KEY PLAYERS

WHO CHANGES THE GAME.
View All Players →
BILLS
Josh Allen headshot
Josh Allen
QB SCORE
133
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
TEXANS
C.J. Stroud headshot
C.J. Stroud
QB SCORE
121
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
Davis Mills headshot
Davis Mills
IMPACT SCORE
111
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.