WEEK 1
MONDAY, SEP 14, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET
ARROWHEAD STADIUM

WHERE THIS
MATCHUP TILTS.

DENVER
TDSNAP OVERALL
66
VS
TDSNAP OVERALL
61
KANSAS CITY
#10
2025 offense
23.6 pts/G · away
#6
2025 defense
19.3 pts allowed/G · home
15.0
QB fantasy pts/G
Patrick Mahomes · PPR
2-1 · 0-2-1
Preseason record
24.7 vs 12.0 pts/G
soon

TDSNAP MATCHUP FIELD

FIVE SIGNALS. TWO TEAMS. A CLEARER PICTURE.
How TDSNAP Signals Work →THE GAP IS THE STORY →
BRONCOS
51
ATTACK
EXPLOSIVE PLAYMAKING
59
84
DEFENSE
STOPS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
62
58
FORM
RECENT TRAJECTORY
44
53
BURST
SPEED CHANGES GAMES
24
63
FINISH
RED ZONE EXECUTION
24
CHIEFS
The field tells the story.

MATCHUP EDGE

COMBINING ALL FIVE SIGNALS.
+14 — EDGE ON THE BOARD
Clear edge: BRONCOS +14
Five signals. One matchup.

BIGGEST CONTRAST

THIS IS THE SWING SPOT.
BRONCOS
EXPLOSIVE DEFENSE
76
VS
CHIEFS
BURST
24
GAP
+52

CHIEFS's speed and explosiveness collides with a BRONCOS defense that has struggled to contain big plays. This could tilt the game.

DEFENSE VS POSITION

Full DVP →
2025 season · fantasy pts allowed
POS
BRONCOS
CHIEFS
ADJ
ADJ
QB
#25
#23
14.3
14.7
RB
#30
#25
18.8
19.8
WR
#24
#28
27.1
25.5
TE
#8
#23
15.1
11.7

PRESEASON

2026 exhibition
PTS/G24.7
ALLOWED15.3
  • WK 1W27-7@ ATL
  • WK 2L13-33vs GB
  • WK 3W34-6vs MIN
CHIEFS0-2-1
PTS/G12.0
ALLOWED15.0
  • WK 1L12-20vs LA
  • WK 2L15-16@ TB
  • WK 3T9-9vs SEA

TEAM COMPARISON

KEY STATS. REAL CONTEXT.
STAT (PER GAME)
BRONCOS
CHIEFS
Points Per Game
23.6
21.3
Total Yards / Game
342.6
320.6
Pass Yards / Game
223.9
214.1
Rush Yards / Game
118.7
106.6
Third Down %
41.2%
37.4%
Red Zone %
57.9%
57.6%

ROSTER READY

WHO'S REALLY AVAILABLE.
DEPTH DECIDES THE 4TH QUARTER
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
0 questionable
See Injury Report →
76
CAUTION
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
1 starter out
3 questionable
See Injury Report →
75
CAUTION

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM
DEN58
KC44
HEALTH
DEN94
KC95
REST
DEN14D
KC14D
BIGGEST EDGEBURST +52 KC

CHIEFS's speed and explosiveness collides with a BRONCOS defense that has struggled to contain big plays. This could tilt the game.

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM5844
HEALTH9495
REST14D — 14D
BURST +52 KC

CHIEFS's speed and explosiveness collides with a BRONCOS defense that has struggled to contain big plays. This could tilt the game.

WHAT TO WATCH

KEY STORYLINES FOR WEEK 1.
WHO BREAKS ONE OPEN?
1
SIGNAL: BURST
EXPLOSIVE DEFENSE

The model's biggest swing spot is explosive defense — watch it early.

HIGH
2
SIGNAL: FINISH
Red Zone Finish

Both offenses move the ball. Execution in the red zone matters.

HIGH
3
SIGNAL: DEPTH
Roster Ready

Which team's depth holds up — BRONCOS (CAUTION) or CHIEFS (CAUTION)?

SWING
ROAD TEAM HAS HISTORY

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

View All Matchups →
RECENT HISTORY BETWEEN THESE RIVALS.
DATE
WINNER
SCORE
SITE
Dec 26, 2025
20 - 13
KC
Nov 16, 2025
19 - 22
DEN
BRONCOS won 2 of the last 2.

KEY PLAYERS

WHO CHANGES THE GAME.
View All Players →
BRONCOS
Bo Nix headshot
Bo Nix
QB SCORE
138
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
RJ Harvey headshot
RJ Harvey
OFFENSE SCORE
123
BETWEEN THE TACKLES. EXPLOSIVE.
CHIEFS
Travis Kelce headshot
Travis Kelce
OFFENSE SCORE
112
MISMATCH. RED ZONE. RELIABLE HANDS.