WEEK 12
THURSDAY, NOV 26, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET
HIGHMARK STADIUM

WHERE THIS
MATCHUP TILTS.

KANSAS CITY
TDSNAP OVERALL
61
VS
TDSNAP OVERALL
75
BUFFALO
#20
2025 offense
21.3 pts/G · away
#12
2025 defense
21.5 pts allowed/G · home
15.0
QB fantasy pts/G
Patrick Mahomes · PPR
0-2-1 · 3-0
Preseason record
12.0 vs 29.3 pts/G
soon

TDSNAP MATCHUP FIELD

FIVE SIGNALS. TWO TEAMS. A CLEARER PICTURE.
How TDSNAP Signals Work →THE GAP IS THE STORY →
CHIEFS
59
ATTACK
EXPLOSIVE PLAYMAKING
88
62
DEFENSE
STOPS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
63
44
FORM
RECENT TRAJECTORY
69
24
BURST
SPEED CHANGES GAMES
64
24
FINISH
RED ZONE EXECUTION
97
BILLS
The field tells the story.

MATCHUP EDGE

COMBINING ALL FIVE SIGNALS.
+25 — CLEAR LEAN
Strong edge: BILLS +25
Five signals. One matchup.

BIGGEST CONTRAST

THIS IS THE SWING SPOT.
CHIEFS
FINISH RESISTANCE
3
VS
BILLS
FINISH
97
GAP
+94

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than CHIEFS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

DEFENSE VS POSITION

Full DVP →
2025 season · fantasy pts allowed
POS
CHIEFS
BILLS
ADJ
ADJ
QB
#23
#22
14.7
14.7
RB
#25
#12
19.8
23.1
WR
#28
#23
25.5
27.8
TE
#23
#32
11.7
7.5

PRESEASON

2026 exhibition
CHIEFS0-2-1
PTS/G12.0
ALLOWED15.0
  • WK 1L12-20vs LA
  • WK 2L15-16@ TB
  • WK 3T9-9vs SEA
PTS/G29.3
ALLOWED16.0
  • WK 1W29-14vs CAR
  • WK 2W31-7@ CLE
  • WK 3W28-27vs PIT

TEAM COMPARISON

KEY STATS. REAL CONTEXT.
STAT (PER GAME)
CHIEFS
BILLS
Points Per Game
21.3
28.3
Total Yards / Game
320.6
376.3
Pass Yards / Game
214.1
216.6
Rush Yards / Game
106.6
159.6
Third Down %
37.4%
44.8%
Red Zone %
57.6%
66.2%

ROSTER READY

WHO'S REALLY AVAILABLE.
DEPTH DECIDES THE 4TH QUARTER
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
1 starter out
3 questionable
See Injury Report →
75
CAUTION
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
4 questionable
See Injury Report →
64
THIN

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM
KC44
BUF69
HEALTH
KC95
BUF96
REST
KC14D
BUF14D
BIGGEST EDGEFINISH +94 BUF

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than CHIEFS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM4469
HEALTH9596
REST14D — 14D
FINISH +94 BUF

BILLS has been sharper in the red zone than CHIEFS's ability to close drives. Scoring chances may convert at a higher rate.

WHAT TO WATCH

KEY STORYLINES FOR WEEK 12.
WHO BREAKS ONE OPEN?
1
SIGNAL: BURST
FINISH RESISTANCE

The model's biggest swing spot is finish resistance — watch it early.

HIGH
2
SIGNAL: FINISH
Red Zone Finish

Both offenses move the ball. Execution in the red zone matters.

HIGH
3
SIGNAL: DEPTH
Roster Ready

Which team's depth holds up — CHIEFS (CAUTION) or BILLS (THIN)?

SWING
BILLS OWNS THIS ONE?

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

View All Matchups →
RECENT HISTORY BETWEEN THESE RIVALS.
DATE
WINNER
SCORE
SITE
Nov 2, 2025
21 - 28
BUF
BILLS won 1 of the last 1.

KEY PLAYERS

WHO CHANGES THE GAME.
View All Players →
CHIEFS
Travis Kelce headshot
Travis Kelce
OFFENSE SCORE
112
MISMATCH. RED ZONE. RELIABLE HANDS.
BILLS
Josh Allen headshot
Josh Allen
QB SCORE
133
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.