WEEK 4
SUNDAY, OCT 4, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET
ALLEGIANT STADIUM

WHERE THIS
MATCHUP TILTS.

KANSAS CITY
TDSNAP OVERALL
61
VS
TDSNAP OVERALL
21
LAS VEGAS
#20
2025 offense
21.3 pts/G · away
#25
2025 defense
25.4 pts allowed/G · home
15.0
QB fantasy pts/G
Patrick Mahomes · PPR
0-2-1 · 1-2
Preseason record
12.0 vs 16.0 pts/G
soon

TDSNAP MATCHUP FIELD

FIVE SIGNALS. TWO TEAMS. A CLEARER PICTURE.
How TDSNAP Signals Work →THE GAP IS THE STORY →
CHIEFS
59
ATTACK
EXPLOSIVE PLAYMAKING
5
62
DEFENSE
STOPS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
43
44
FORM
RECENT TRAJECTORY
38
24
BURST
SPEED CHANGES GAMES
18
24
FINISH
RED ZONE EXECUTION
25
RAIDERS
The field tells the story.

MATCHUP EDGE

COMBINING ALL FIVE SIGNALS.
+37 — CLEAR LEAN
Strong edge: CHIEFS +37
Five signals. One matchup.

BIGGEST CONTRAST

THIS IS THE SWING SPOT.
CHIEFS
CONTROL DISRUPTION
83
VS
RAIDERS
CONTROL
16
GAP
+68

RAIDERS's ability to sustain drives runs into CHIEFS's disruption profile — tempo and possession could swing on this axis.

DEFENSE VS POSITION

Full DVP →
2025 season · fantasy pts allowed
POS
CHIEFS
RAIDERS
ADJ
ADJ
QB
#23
#19
14.7
16.0
RB
#25
#8
19.8
25.1
WR
#28
#15
25.5
30.3
TE
#23
#28
11.7
10.3

PRESEASON

2026 exhibition
CHIEFS0-2-1
PTS/G12.0
ALLOWED15.0
  • WK 1L12-20vs LA
  • WK 2L15-16@ TB
  • WK 3T9-9vs SEA
PTS/G16.0
ALLOWED21.7
  • WK 1L14-27vs ARI
  • WK 2W22-20@ HOU
  • WK 3L12-18vs SF

TEAM COMPARISON

KEY STATS. REAL CONTEXT.
STAT (PER GAME)
CHIEFS
RAIDERS
Points Per Game
21.3
14.2
Total Yards / Game
320.6
245.2
Pass Yards / Game
214.1
167.7
Rush Yards / Game
106.6
77.5
Third Down %
37.4%
33.8%
Red Zone %
57.6%
50.0%

ROSTER READY

WHO'S REALLY AVAILABLE.
DEPTH DECIDES THE 4TH QUARTER
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
1 starter out
3 questionable
See Injury Report →
75
CAUTION
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
0 questionable
See Injury Report →
76
CAUTION

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM
KC44
LV38
HEALTH
KC95
LV89
REST
KC14D
LV14D
BIGGEST EDGECONTROL +68 LV

RAIDERS's ability to sustain drives runs into CHIEFS's disruption profile — tempo and possession could swing on this axis.

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM4438
HEALTH9589
REST14D — 14D
CONTROL +68 LV

RAIDERS's ability to sustain drives runs into CHIEFS's disruption profile — tempo and possession could swing on this axis.

WHAT TO WATCH

KEY STORYLINES FOR WEEK 4.
WHO BREAKS ONE OPEN?
1
SIGNAL: BURST
CONTROL DISRUPTION

The model's biggest swing spot is control disruption — watch it early.

HIGH
2
SIGNAL: FINISH
Red Zone Finish

Both offenses move the ball. Execution in the red zone matters.

SWING
3
SIGNAL: DEPTH
Roster Ready

Which team's depth holds up — CHIEFS (CAUTION) or RAIDERS (CAUTION)?

SWING
EVEN SERIES — ANYONE'S GAME

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

View All Matchups →
RECENT HISTORY BETWEEN THESE RIVALS.
DATE
WINNER
SCORE
SITE
Jan 4, 2026
12 - 14
LV
Oct 19, 2025
0 - 31
KC
Series tied 1-1 over the last 2.

KEY PLAYERS

WHO CHANGES THE GAME.
View All Players →
CHIEFS
Travis Kelce headshot
Travis Kelce
OFFENSE SCORE
112
MISMATCH. RED ZONE. RELIABLE HANDS.
RAIDERS
Geno Smith headshot
Geno Smith
QB SCORE
109
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
Brock Bowers headshot
Brock Bowers
OFFENSE SCORE
145
MISMATCH. RED ZONE. RELIABLE HANDS.