WEEK 16
SATURDAY, DEC 26, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
ACRISURE STADIUM

WHERE THIS
MATCHUP TILTS.

CAROLINA
TDSNAP OVERALL
28
VS
TDSNAP OVERALL
51
PITTSBURGH
#27
2025 offense
18.3 pts/G · away
#17
2025 defense
22.8 pts allowed/G · home
13.4
QB fantasy pts/G
Aaron Rodgers · PPR
3-1 · 1-2
Preseason record
24.3 vs 18.3 pts/G
soon

TDSNAP MATCHUP FIELD

FIVE SIGNALS. TWO TEAMS. A CLEARER PICTURE.
How TDSNAP Signals Work →THE GAP IS THE STORY →
PANTHERS
20
ATTACK
EXPLOSIVE PLAYMAKING
55
37
DEFENSE
STOPS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
47
39
FORM
RECENT TRAJECTORY
51
9
BURST
SPEED CHANGES GAMES
33
43
FINISH
RED ZONE EXECUTION
68
STEELERS
The field tells the story.

MATCHUP EDGE

COMBINING ALL FIVE SIGNALS.
+21 — CLEAR LEAN
Strong edge: STEELERS +21
Five signals. One matchup.

BIGGEST CONTRAST

THIS IS THE SWING SPOT.
PANTHERS
BURST
9
VS
STEELERS
EXPLOSIVE DEFENSE
91
GAP
+83

PANTHERS's speed and explosiveness collides with a STEELERS defense that has struggled to contain big plays. This could tilt the game.

DEFENSE VS POSITION

Full DVP →
2025 season · fantasy pts allowed
POS
PANTHERS
STEELERS
ADJ
ADJ
QB
#26
#4
13.7
20.6
RB
#10
#29
23.5
18.9
WR
#26
#2
26.2
37.1
TE
#6
#2
15.7
18.1

PRESEASON

2026 exhibition
PTS/G24.3
ALLOWED22.3
  • WK 0W33-30@ ARI
  • WK 1L14-29@ BUF
  • WK 2W34-17@ JAX
  • WK 3W16-13vs HOU
PTS/G18.3
ALLOWED18.0
  • WK 1W28-9vs GB
  • WK 2L0-17vs NYJ
  • WK 3L27-28@ BUF

TEAM COMPARISON

KEY STATS. REAL CONTEXT.
STAT (PER GAME)
PANTHERS
STEELERS
Points Per Game
18.3
23.4
Total Yards / Game
295.6
305.6
Pass Yards / Game
179.3
202.4
Rush Yards / Game
116.3
103.3
Third Down %
36.1%
40.0%
Red Zone %
53.3%
58.8%

ROSTER READY

WHO'S REALLY AVAILABLE.
DEPTH DECIDES THE 4TH QUARTER
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
4 starters out
0 questionable
See Injury Report →
60
THIN
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
1 starter out
1 questionable
See Injury Report →
81
READY

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM
CAR39
PIT51
HEALTH
CAR98
PIT93
REST
CAR14D
PIT14D
BIGGEST EDGEBURST +83 CAR

PANTHERS's speed and explosiveness collides with a STEELERS defense that has struggled to contain big plays. This could tilt the game.

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM3951
HEALTH9893
REST14D — 14D
BURST +83 CAR

PANTHERS's speed and explosiveness collides with a STEELERS defense that has struggled to contain big plays. This could tilt the game.

WHAT TO WATCH

KEY STORYLINES FOR WEEK 16.
WHO BREAKS ONE OPEN?
1
SIGNAL: BURST
BURST

The model's biggest swing spot is burst — watch it early.

HIGH
2
SIGNAL: FINISH
Red Zone Finish

Both offenses move the ball. Execution in the red zone matters.

HIGH
3
SIGNAL: DEPTH
Roster Ready

Which team's depth holds up — PANTHERS (THIN) or STEELERS (READY)?

LATE
STEELERS OWNS THIS ONE?

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

View All Matchups →
RECENT HISTORY BETWEEN THESE RIVALS.
DATE
WINNER
SCORE
SITE
Aug 21, 2025
19 - 10
CAR
STEELERS won 1 of the last 1.

KEY PLAYERS

WHO CHANGES THE GAME.
View All Players →
PANTHERS
Bryce Young headshot
Bryce Young
QB SCORE
119
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
Rico Dowdle headshot
Rico Dowdle
OFFENSE SCORE
128
BETWEEN THE TACKLES. EXPLOSIVE.
STEELERS