WEEK 4
SUNDAY, OCT 4, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET
HIGHMARK STADIUM

WHERE THIS
MATCHUP TILTS.

NEW ENGLAND
TDSNAP OVERALL
35
VS
TDSNAP OVERALL
BUFFALO
#7
2026 offense
10.0 pts/G · away
#3
2026 defense
0.0 pts allowed/G · home
8.2
QB fantasy pts/G
Josh Allen · PPR
1-1-1 · 3-0
Preseason record
16.7 vs 29.3 pts/G
soon

TDSNAP MATCHUP FIELD

FIVE SIGNALS. TWO TEAMS. A CLEARER PICTURE.
How TDSNAP Signals Work →THE GAP IS THE STORY →
PATRIOTS
ATTACK
EXPLOSIVE PLAYMAKING
DEFENSE
STOPS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
FORM
RECENT TRAJECTORY
BURST
SPEED CHANGES GAMES
FINISH
RED ZONE EXECUTION
BILLS
The field tells the story.

MATCHUP EDGE

COMBINING ALL FIVE SIGNALS.
TOO CLOSE TO CALL?
Even Matchup
Five signals. One matchup.

DEFENSE VS POSITION

Full DVP →
2026 season · fantasy pts allowed
POS
PATRIOTS
BILLS
ADJ
ADJ
QB
#2
#16
13.3
0.0
RB
#4
#16
11.0
0.0
WR
#2
#16
33.1
0.0
TE
#4
#16
3.3
0.0

PRESEASON

2026 exhibition
PTS/G16.7
ALLOWED23.7
  • WK 1T13-13vs IND
  • WK 2W24-21vs PHI
  • WK 3L13-37@ CLE
PTS/G29.3
ALLOWED16.0
  • WK 1W29-14vs CAR
  • WK 2W31-7@ CLE
  • WK 3W28-27vs PIT

TEAM COMPARISON

KEY STATS. REAL CONTEXT.
STAT (PER GAME)
PATRIOTS
BILLS
Points Per Game
10.0
0.0
Total Yards / Game
0.0
0.0
Pass Yards / Game
0.0
0.0
Rush Yards / Game
0.0
0.0
Third Down %
Red Zone %

ROSTER READY

WHO'S REALLY AVAILABLE.
DEPTH DECIDES THE 4TH QUARTER
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
8 starters out
0 questionable
See Injury Report →
40
THIN
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
4 questionable
See Injury Report →
64
THIN

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM
NE50
BUF50
HEALTH
NE81
BUF96
REST
NE14D
BUF14D
BIGGEST EDGEROSTER +15 BUF

BILLS owns the roster-health edge, while PATRIOTS looks to counter elsewhere on the board.

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM5050
HEALTH8196
REST14D — 14D
ROSTER +15 BUF

BILLS owns the roster-health edge, while PATRIOTS looks to counter elsewhere on the board.

WHAT TO WATCH

KEY STORYLINES FOR WEEK 4.
WHOSE DEPTH HOLDS UP?
1
SIGNAL: DEPTH
Roster Ready

Which team's depth holds up — PATRIOTS (THIN) or BILLS (THIN)?

LATE
2
SIGNAL: BURST
Burst

Can PATRIOTS's speed create explosive plays early?

SWING
3
SIGNAL: FINISH
Red Zone Finish

Both offenses move the ball. Execution in the red zone matters.

SWING
EVEN SERIES — ANYONE'S GAME

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

View All Matchups →
RECENT HISTORY BETWEEN THESE RIVALS.
DATE
WINNER
SCORE
SITE
Dec 14, 2025
35 - 31
NE
Oct 6, 2025
23 - 20
BUF
Series tied 1-1 over the last 2.

KEY PLAYERS

WHO CHANGES THE GAME.
View All Players →
PATRIOTS
Drake Maye headshot
Drake Maye
QB SCORE
3
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
BILLS
Josh Allen headshot
Josh Allen
QB SCORE
82
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
Kyle Allen headshot
Kyle Allen
IMPACT SCORE
133
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
DJ Moore headshot
DJ Moore
OFFENSE SCORE
102
ELITE THREAT. GAME CHANGER.

Ratings are provisional until more regular-season drives are in the model.