WEEK 18
SATURDAY, JAN 9, 2027 · 7:00 PM ET
ARROWHEAD STADIUM

WHERE THIS
MATCHUP TILTS.

LAS VEGAS
TDSNAP OVERALL
21
VS
TDSNAP OVERALL
61
KANSAS CITY
#32
2025 offense
14.2 pts/G · away
#6
2025 defense
19.3 pts allowed/G · home
15.0
QB fantasy pts/G
Patrick Mahomes · PPR
1-2 · 0-2-1
Preseason record
16.0 vs 12.0 pts/G
soon

TDSNAP MATCHUP FIELD

FIVE SIGNALS. TWO TEAMS. A CLEARER PICTURE.
How TDSNAP Signals Work →THE GAP IS THE STORY →
RAIDERS
5
ATTACK
EXPLOSIVE PLAYMAKING
59
43
DEFENSE
STOPS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
62
38
FORM
RECENT TRAJECTORY
44
18
BURST
SPEED CHANGES GAMES
24
25
FINISH
RED ZONE EXECUTION
24
CHIEFS
The field tells the story.

MATCHUP EDGE

COMBINING ALL FIVE SIGNALS.
+37 — CLEAR LEAN
Strong edge: CHIEFS +37
Five signals. One matchup.

BIGGEST CONTRAST

THIS IS THE SWING SPOT.
RAIDERS
CONTROL
16
VS
CHIEFS
CONTROL DISRUPTION
83
GAP
+68

RAIDERS's ability to sustain drives runs into CHIEFS's disruption profile — tempo and possession could swing on this axis.

DEFENSE VS POSITION

Full DVP →
2025 season · fantasy pts allowed
POS
RAIDERS
CHIEFS
ADJ
ADJ
QB
#19
#23
16.0
14.7
RB
#8
#25
25.1
19.8
WR
#15
#28
30.3
25.5
TE
#28
#23
10.3
11.7

PRESEASON

2026 exhibition
PTS/G16.0
ALLOWED21.7
  • WK 1L14-27vs ARI
  • WK 2W22-20@ HOU
  • WK 3L12-18vs SF
CHIEFS0-2-1
PTS/G12.0
ALLOWED15.0
  • WK 1L12-20vs LA
  • WK 2L15-16@ TB
  • WK 3T9-9vs SEA

TEAM COMPARISON

KEY STATS. REAL CONTEXT.
STAT (PER GAME)
RAIDERS
CHIEFS
Points Per Game
14.2
21.3
Total Yards / Game
245.2
320.6
Pass Yards / Game
167.7
214.1
Rush Yards / Game
77.5
106.6
Third Down %
33.8%
37.4%
Red Zone %
50.0%
57.6%

ROSTER READY

WHO'S REALLY AVAILABLE.
DEPTH DECIDES THE 4TH QUARTER
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
2 starters out
0 questionable
See Injury Report →
76
CAUTION
EliteStrongGoodThinDepleted
ROSTER READY
1 starter out
3 questionable
See Injury Report →
75
CAUTION

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM
LV38
KC44
HEALTH
LV89
KC95
REST
LV14D
KC14D
BIGGEST EDGECONTROL +68 LV

RAIDERS's ability to sustain drives runs into CHIEFS's disruption profile — tempo and possession could swing on this axis.

MATCHUP PULSE

FORM3844
HEALTH8995
REST14D — 14D
CONTROL +68 LV

RAIDERS's ability to sustain drives runs into CHIEFS's disruption profile — tempo and possession could swing on this axis.

WHAT TO WATCH

KEY STORYLINES FOR WEEK 18.
WHO BREAKS ONE OPEN?
1
SIGNAL: BURST
CONTROL

The model's biggest swing spot is control — watch it early.

HIGH
2
SIGNAL: FINISH
Red Zone Finish

Both offenses move the ball. Execution in the red zone matters.

SWING
3
SIGNAL: DEPTH
Roster Ready

Which team's depth holds up — RAIDERS (CAUTION) or CHIEFS (CAUTION)?

SWING
EVEN SERIES — ANYONE'S GAME

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

View All Matchups →
RECENT HISTORY BETWEEN THESE RIVALS.
DATE
WINNER
SCORE
SITE
Jan 4, 2026
12 - 14
LV
Oct 19, 2025
0 - 31
KC
Series tied 1-1 over the last 2.

KEY PLAYERS

WHO CHANGES THE GAME.
View All Players →
RAIDERS
Geno Smith headshot
Geno Smith
QB SCORE
109
LEADER. PLAYMAKER. DIFFERENCE MAKER.
Brock Bowers headshot
Brock Bowers
OFFENSE SCORE
145
MISMATCH. RED ZONE. RELIABLE HANDS.
CHIEFS
Travis Kelce headshot
Travis Kelce
OFFENSE SCORE
112
MISMATCH. RED ZONE. RELIABLE HANDS.